Russian troops have encircled the Chechen
capital Grozny, but their toughest battles in the breakaway region could still lie ahead
because rebels are turning to guerrilla tactics, the Russian military said Sunday.
The shift is a dangerous one for Russia, which
hopes to prevent high casualties among its soldiers.
With Russian air and artillery attacks pounding
Grozny, federal troops seized the final road into the city over the weekend and their
commanders announced that it was under a full blockade.
Russian troops have met relatively little
opposition during the first two months of the military campaign, but rebels have begun
putting up more of a fight as the Russians move toward Grozny, a Russian military
spokesman said Sunday.
Col. Gennady Alyokhin warned that Chechnya's
"illegal armed formations were increasingly using guerrilla methods of warfare."
On the outskirts of the capital, Russian forces
said their troops inflicted heavy losses on rebels by capturing a network of defensive
bunkers.
"Our reconnaissance feigned an attack and
drew fire. The rebels lost about 50 men," a Russian general said.
Most Russians have supported the Chechen
campaign, but if the military opts to storm Grozny, heavy losses among Russian troops are
likely. Such losses could provoke the kind of public indignation that met the previous war
in 1994-96 -- a development that both the military and the government are anxious to
avoid.
Russian commanders say they do not intend to take
Grozny with ground troops. However air strikes and artillery attacks alone are unlikely to
dislodge thousands of rebel fighters in the city.
A rebel Web site said on Sunday that the battle
for Grozny had begun. It acknowledged that Russian troops controlled all roads out of the
city, but said Chechen fighters could skirt Russian positions and were reinforcing
Grozny's defenses. The rebels say they have adequate food and ammunition supplies.
Russian officials have said their next target
will be Urus Martan, a town 15 kilometers (10 miles) south of the capital where rebels
have put up their stiffest resistance yet.
Grozny mayor Lecha Dudayev warned Sunday that
lack of transportation would prevent civilians from using a proposed safe-passage
corridor. The Russian military plan to open a pathway on Monday to move mostly the elderly
and infirm to the Russian-controlled north of the territory. Dudayev said the Grozny
residents would have to cover up to 20 kilometers (12.5 miles) on foot, Interfax news
service reported.
Deaths and suffering among Chechen civilians have
brought strong criticism from the West. Russia's campaign has forced approximately 200,000
people to seek shelter in neighboring Russian republics where they face winter shortages
of food, fuel and other basic items.
In neighboring Ingushetia, refugees have
scrambled to find living quarters. In the village of Mozdok, 40 Chechens took shelter in a
cemetery, sleeping in a large shed where rites for the dead are performed.
"It was terrible at first. You come out and
there are graves everywhere. But it was worse at home," one woman said.
There were reports of a civilian massacre over
the weekend. Chechen refugees who fled Grozny said masked Russian soldiers at a checkpoint
had opened fire on their caravan at point blank range, killing 40 people. Russian military
officials denied the allegations<